Re: Disastro o cospirazione? Discussione sulla crisi economica in corso
Inviato da Descartes il 3/1/2009 15:22:01
Citazione:
Il trasporto navale delle materie prime. Non dei beni al dettaglio.
Citazione:
Baltic Dry Index - BDI
What Does Baltic Dry Index - BDI Mean?
A shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange that measures changes in the cost to transport raw materials such as metals, grains and fossil fuels by sea. The Baltic Exchange directly contacts shipping brokers to assess price levels for a given route, product to transport and time to delivery (speed).
The Baltic Dry Index is a composite of three sub-indexes that measure different sizes of dry bulk carriers (merchant ships) - Capesize, Supramax and Panamax. Multiple geographic routes are evaluated for each index to give depth to the index's composite measurement.
It is also known as the "Dry Bulk Index".
Investopedia explains Baltic Dry Index - BDI:
Changes in the Baltic Dry Index can give investors insight into global supply and demand trends. This change is often considered a leading indicator of future economic growth (if the index is rising) or contraction (index is falling) because the goods shipped are raw, pre-production material, which is typically an area with very low levels of speculation.
Because the supply of large carriers tends to remain very tight, with long lead times and high production costs, the index can experience high levels of volatility if global demand increases or drops off suddenly. The Baltic Exchange also operates as a maker of markets in freight derivatives, a type of forward contract known as FFAs (forward freight agreements) that are traded over-the-counter.
fonte: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/baltic_dry_index.asp?viewed=1
In altre parole: essendo un indice molto volatile per motivi tecnici (le spedizioni si fanno in anticipo di mesi, le navi non partono se non sono piene, etc.), può crollare a picco se la domanda globale crolla rapidamente, come nel caso della attuale crisi.
Ma non temere, se la domanda ci sarà l'indice tornerà a salire altrettanto bruscamente. Ma dubito che accadrà presto.
Hiei2 ha scritto:
Precisazione: del trasporto navale mercantile o SOLO delle materie prime?
Il trasporto navale delle materie prime. Non dei beni al dettaglio.
Citazione:
Punto: di cosa stiamo parlando come offerta/domanda? Se la circolazione delle merci rimane paralizzata è possibile che, dato che per molti prodotti anche di prima necessità ormai si dipende dai trasporti a lunga percorrenza, ci si trovi ben presto a non poterli reperire...nel qual caso i prezzi andrebbero alle stelle alla faccia della deflazione.
Per ipotesi.
Baltic Dry Index - BDI
What Does Baltic Dry Index - BDI Mean?
A shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange that measures changes in the cost to transport raw materials such as metals, grains and fossil fuels by sea. The Baltic Exchange directly contacts shipping brokers to assess price levels for a given route, product to transport and time to delivery (speed).
The Baltic Dry Index is a composite of three sub-indexes that measure different sizes of dry bulk carriers (merchant ships) - Capesize, Supramax and Panamax. Multiple geographic routes are evaluated for each index to give depth to the index's composite measurement.
It is also known as the "Dry Bulk Index".
Investopedia explains Baltic Dry Index - BDI:
Changes in the Baltic Dry Index can give investors insight into global supply and demand trends. This change is often considered a leading indicator of future economic growth (if the index is rising) or contraction (index is falling) because the goods shipped are raw, pre-production material, which is typically an area with very low levels of speculation.
Because the supply of large carriers tends to remain very tight, with long lead times and high production costs, the index can experience high levels of volatility if global demand increases or drops off suddenly. The Baltic Exchange also operates as a maker of markets in freight derivatives, a type of forward contract known as FFAs (forward freight agreements) that are traded over-the-counter.
fonte: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/baltic_dry_index.asp?viewed=1
In altre parole: essendo un indice molto volatile per motivi tecnici (le spedizioni si fanno in anticipo di mesi, le navi non partono se non sono piene, etc.), può crollare a picco se la domanda globale crolla rapidamente, come nel caso della attuale crisi.
Ma non temere, se la domanda ci sarà l'indice tornerà a salire altrettanto bruscamente. Ma dubito che accadrà presto.
Messaggio orinale: https://old.luogocomune.net/site/newbb/viewtopic.php?forum=46&topic_id=4492&post_id=132217